For Dale Earnhardt, Jr., the opening of 2008 speedweeks at Daytona International Speedway was his chance to get back on the racetrack. He hadn’t won since May 2006 at Richmond, and had spent the last half of 2007 knowing he was leaving his father’s company. In June, he announced where he was going - the hated arch-rival Hendrick (to his fans anyway - more so from Hendrick also being Jeff Gordon’s owner). September saw the sponsorship announcement. But at last, this was finally the chance to be in the now, instead of the looking forward to.
And he took advantage of the prime-time stage, leading 47 of 70 laps (a race-record), taking the lead for good coming to the white flag, and holding off Tony Stewart and new teammates Jimmie Johnson and Jeff Gordon for the checkered. There were six shootout wins between the three of them - to Jr’s one coming in.
The questions running around the garage were numerous, and they included two big ones: Could Jr win with Hendrick?, and How long would it take? YES, and right away were the answers. One could see the emotion on Jr’s face in Victory Lane - after all, it had been 21 months since his last Cup win of any kind. There was also relief - relief of not having to answer the question “so when will you win?”
The race itself was the first test of the “Car of Tomorrow” in race conditions at Daytona, now in full time use for the entire 2008 season after having been used for selected races in 2007. Coming in, it was an unknown. This, combined with a large incident in practice Friday, likely contributed to careful driving by the field, avoiding “the big one” so often common in restrictor plate racing. By in large, things were possible with these new cars that had not been in recent times.
Three-time winner Tony Stewart made a pass for the lead without help, overtaking Jr (who had help from Johnson) with 10 laps left. Unfortunately for Stewart, driving his first race in a Toyota for Joe Gibbs racing after they left Chevrolet, Kurt Busch spun with 7 to go, bringing out a caution and a double-file restart unique to the Shootout. Jr and Johnson were in the outside lane on the restart, and Stewart down low followed by Jeff Gordon. Johnson had just enough to shove Jr in front coming out of Turn 4 to the white flag.
It seemed even Stewart was happy to see Jr win if he couldn’t - although Stewart finished 2nd to Jr in the 2004 Daytona 500, Stewart was a three-time winner of the Shootout.
With the “when will he win” question dispensed with, it now becomes “how many will he win? For that answer, we’ll have to wait for the season to develop. There will be some feeling out of the Car of Tomorrow at those tracks where it was not used last year, such as Las Vegas and California. Will he win the 10 that Jimmie Johnson won last year? Unrealistic, seeing as Johnson ought to be able to manage a 6-win performance. Hendrick Motorsports won 18 of the 36 races last season. Jr’s best season was a 6-win campaign in 2004 for DEI, but that was his only season with more than three wins.
For posterity’s sake - I will predict 5: Daytona (500), Darlington, Sonoma, Indianapolis and Talladega (fall). Based on his history, I could see a Martinsville or Bristol in the picture as well.
Fresh Cracks...